The Gambler

I made a open source project on GitHub called “Gambler” that uses SpecKit plus the AI agent of your choice to assist you in making gambling decisions. It prompts your for all the relevant information you gave give it — either URLS or you can cut and paste stuff. Tell it all the factors you want to consider. It chews it up and makes a recommendation.

Here’s the final analysis it gave me for my 6 Player DFS team foe The Players Championship.

Goal: Build a valid 6-golfer DraftKings lineup for THE PLAYERS at TPC Sawgrass that maximizes projected fantasy output while staying under the hard $50,000 salary cap

Data coverage + gaps Coverage

  • DraftKings player pool/salaries: data/raw/DKSalaries.csv.
  • PGA stat inputs: scoring average, birdie average, birdie-or-better %, par breakers, par-5 birdie leaders.
  • Media/context: CBS + Betsperts + Ceros expert picks + pasted model rankings.
  • Injury/news context: Rory McIlroy back-status timeline (Mar 7-10, 2026).

Gaps

  • No official ownership projections were provided.
  • Final pre-lock status updates can still change expected value.
  1. Key signals
  • DK scoring strongly rewards birdies/streaks and 4-round availability.
  • Best blended profiles in this data set cluster around: Scheffler, Bridgeman, Min Woo Lee, Si Woo Kim, Morikawa tier.
  • Risk-adjusted build de-emphasizes uncertain injury exposure unless confirmed fully healthy.
  1. Factors assessment Applied framework: birdie upside, scoring baseline, Sawgrass fit, cut/finish equity, and expert/model agreement, while enforcing the hard salary cap.
  2. Recommendation (hard-cap valid lineup)

Primary Team (Cap-Compliant)

  • Scottie Scheffler — Salary: $14,200 — Projected Pts: 112.60
  • Jacob Bridgeman — Salary: $7,900 — Projected Pts: 101.58
  • Min Woo Lee — Salary: $7,500 — Projected Pts: 95.14
  • Ryan Gerard — Salary: $7,400 — Projected Pts: 90.00
  • Pierceson Coody — Salary: $6,700 — Projected Pts: 83.50
  • Ricky Castillo — Salary: $6,200 — Projected Pts: 97.60

Team salary total: $49,900 Salary remaining: $100 Team projected points total: 580.42

Confidence: Medium

  1. Why these players This lineup balances one elite anchor (Scheffler) with five strong value-per-dollar scorers who rate well in the birdie-centric metrics and/or current-form model signals. Bridgeman, Min Woo Lee, Coody, and Castillo all grade well for birdie creation relative to salary, which is critical in DraftKings scoring. Gerard provides additional salary-efficient production while preserving cap flexibility. Net result: a high-upside roster that remains under the hard $50K cap without forcing multiple low-projection punts.
  2. Risks and what to watch
  • Late withdrawals/health updates before lock.
  • Weather-wave effects that could impact round scoring distribution.
  • Chalk concentration in common high-value names.
  1. Conditional swap note If McIlroy is fully cleared pre-lock and you want a Rory-in build, use:

Salary: $49,300 | Baseline projected total: 556.87

Rory McIlroy ($11,700), Si Woo Kim ($9,300), Jacob Bridgeman ($7,900), Min Woo Lee ($7,500), Pierceson Coody ($6,700), Ricky Castillo ($6,200)


Comments

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *